Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-03-09 865.278324 981.666026 1112.507893 1271.392926 1460.314978 1679.267162 1954.407185
2025-03-16 688.266604 837.590353 1021.522636 1268.278033 1596.148550 2024.923708 2641.999245
2025-03-23 604.339038 767.654494 980.575559 1285.131880 1720.960966 2340.920711 3326.178437
2025-03-30 525.887737 689.478042 912.001667 1246.294778 1753.383262 2525.550024 3859.484671
2025-04-06 467.042696 628.248643 855.281093 1210.595107 1777.017435 2692.456631 4397.697125
2025-04-13 418.199576 574.613454 801.367856 1168.756161 1780.051006 2821.254514 4898.096230
2025-04-20 396.976927 558.098982 799.154034 1204.947113 1913.453173 3195.309374 5968.134853
2025-04-27 373.035801 534.669545 783.044731 1215.174908 2002.210196 3505.347950 7010.286667
2025-05-04 355.287452 518.759676 776.535697 1239.736944 2119.585906 3895.091441 8374.288758
2025-05-11 338.448270 502.537312 767.450397 1257.871613 2226.880051 4288.155766 9909.040157
2025-05-18 328.757351 496.797071 774.897864 1306.349748 2402.250444 4873.564152 12240.344392
2025-05-25 314.247173 481.756226 764.704012 1319.942771 2507.090179 5322.878323 14413.117703
2025-06-01 297.130959 461.865953 745.681196 1317.234280 2583.879149 5745.577290 16838.348602
2025-06-08 279.273269 439.481446 720.412278 1299.530103 2625.712513 6097.309683 19293.321111
2025-06-15 268.355923 428.205165 714.173832 1319.670089 2760.082654 6749.417822 23480.966838
2025-06-22 250.818602 403.852750 681.233828 1279.005461 2737.656232 6935.382010 25801.201334
2025-06-29 235.370925 382.212683 651.675420 1242.204738 2718.763989 7129.629756 28373.259967
2025-07-06 220.525644 360.727882 620.757322 1198.960974 2675.879788 7236.286209 30627.407821
2025-07-13 215.786194 357.509910 625.317915 1236.354707 2857.960147 8176.764226 38906.172828
2025-07-20 208.527876 349.061139 618.671592 1246.922765 2967.924665 8909.108492 47050.185330
2025-07-27 203.217770 343.926144 618.282758 1272.306765 3127.122440 9906.789404 59131.222072
2025-08-03 197.601174 337.813366 615.325864 1291.051119 3271.191069 10919.185425 73817.470707
2025-08-10 195.034594 337.447353 624.395319 1341.171106 3527.310287 12573.924517 100310.352905